303-235. Figure Obama's PV around 50.5%. I expect him to have slightly over a 2% win in the PV. No clue nor care about his margin in MA. Obama loses IN, NE-2, NC, and possibly / probably FL from 2008. Democrats keep the Senate with...
prognostication
The Iowa class battleships (Wisconsin, New Jersey, Iowa, and Missouri) have a chance to go as a bloc this year. This has happened more often than you'd expect; all four.
Even if the US manages to beat out China for the most medals this year, I expect that China pretty much has a lock on the medal count for the.