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predictions “blown out” within three hours

Wild Guesses on a Saturday Afternoon

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In Uncategorized
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On February 9, 2008
Scott and Matt's rather under-analyzed prediction of a Clinton victory pushed me to make a quick and dirty assessment of my own. Here are the states I expect Obama to win:WashingtonLouisianaNebraskaDCMarylandVirginiaHawaiiWyomingMississippiNorth CarolinaMontanaSouth DakotaOregonHere are the states I expect Clinton to win:WisconsinOhioRhode IslandTexasPennsylvaniaKentuckyWest VirginiaPuerto RicoAnd here...

Whoops!

By
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On January 9, 2008

I probably should have reverted to my prior skepticism about how much bounce Obama would get out of new Hampshire. I still expect Obama to win narrowly, but...

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