nate silver
Without at all questioning Nate Silver's statistical analysis, it has seemed to me in the last year that he has been getting a bit high on that Beltway supply, wanting.
This takedown of a FiveThirtyEight article on Venezuela is pretty complete and damning. Once again, data is in no way "objective" and Silver's belief that it is has lead to.
I should start this post by saying that I couldn't care one way or the other about the success of FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver has done good work on both sports and elections, but that doesn't mean that he is inherently better at reporting or shaping...