Nearly impossible to call, because it's unclear what will happen in Quebec (where the NDP is polling well but will lack any kind of ground operation in many ridings.) Let's say: PC: 147 NDP: 79 LIB: 57 BQ: 24 IND: 1 All projections guaranteed accurate...
2011 Canadian elections
Another Tory minority looks increasingly likely in the Canadian elections, although the increase in NDP support that may or may not hold up makes things difficult to predict.