Canadian Election Blogging

My predictions, based on the extremely reliable method of “half-assed guesses derived from thin research”:

Con 115
Lib 108
NDP 28
Bloq 55
IND 1

It’s basically too close to call, but with the popular vote basically even, I think you have to bet against the more regionally diffuse party. A Harper minority, backed up by the Bloq–it may outlast the last Conservative minority (which held on for less than a year), but it may not. Issues of federalism just aren’t salient enough for a Bloq/Conservative coalition to be stable.