The US v. the developed world
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We should have life expectancy at birth figures in the US for 2022 in the next couple of weeks or so. Eyeballing the underlying mortality stats, I expect that about half of the loss of life expectancy between 2019 (78.9) and 2021 (76.4) will be regained. The biggest factor here by far will of course be the waning of COVID:
Official deaths from COVID year over year (March 15 to March 15):
2020-2021: 539K
2021-2022: 429K
2022-23: 153K
These figures are probably about 20% too low, since excess mortality over these three years was about 1.45 million Americans.
The most striking aspect of this figures is comparing them to those from 21 “peer” [sic] countries:
Change in life expectancy in 2020 v. 2019:
USA: -1.9 years
Peer countries: -.5 years.
Change in life expectancy in 2021 v. 2020:
USA: -.5 years
Peer countries: +.25 years
Total: 2021 v. 2019
USA: -.2.4 years
Peer countries: – .3 years, aka four months.
Peer countries:
AUS (Australia), AUT (Austria), BEL (Belgium), CAN (Canada), CHE (Switzerland), DEU (Germany), DNK
(Denmark), ENG/WLS (England and Wales), ESP (Spain), FIN (Finland), FRA (France), ISR (Israel), ITA (Italy), KOR(South Korea), NDL (Netherlands), NIR (Northern Ireland), NOR (Norway), NZL (New Zealand), PRT (Portugal), SCT(Scotland), SWE (Sweden),