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Does NATO Have a Future?

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I think so.

Lord Ismay, first Secretary General of NATO, is said to have quipped that the purpose of the organization was to keep America in, Russia out, and Germany down.

Keeping America in may no longer be possible, and keeping Germany down is no longer relevant. 

This leaves keeping Russia out. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has indicated that Moscow has the will and capacity to wage an extended, large-scale war on its border.

It has also demonstrated that Russia cannot decisively win that war, even when the full might of NATO remains in reserve.

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