The problem is white people who didn’t go to college

I mean the problem is white people who didn’t go to college. Especially white men. Also men in general.

Still lots of “economic anxiety” out there obvi.

I realize almost nobody around here is at all complacent, but Harris’s polling isn’t nearly as good as Biden’s was at the same point in the race, and Biden’s margin in the polls got a lot bigger in October (10 points for most of it). The polls significantly undershot Trump’s support in 2020, and undershot it by quite a bit though not as much in 2016. Of course legitimate pollsters have tweaked their models accordingly, so there’s reason to hope that there’s no, or not as much, of a hidden Trump vote out there this year.

But it all comes down to Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin if you look at the possible combinations. I feel good about Michigan, despite the lack of a functional quarterback, more or less OK about Wisconsin, and queasy about Pennsylvania, which is Philadelphia and Pittsburgh with Alabama in between, like a lot of other states in the Midwest. Although the idea of Pennsylvania being in the Midwest has always seemed odd to me. I mean it borders New Jersey. But at least western Pennsylvania seems Midwesty, because eastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania are very similar, and you can’t get more Midwest than Ohio.

Six more weeks of this. Nobody is forcing you to read this post let alone comment on it so don’t go there.