Something like a Kamalanomenon
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Michelle Goldberg has a report from the Harris rally on Atlanta seeing a level of enthusiasm not seen among Democrats since 2008. It’s encouraging, but it’s dangerous to infer too much from being among a candidate’s strongest supporters. What is more important is the changes showing up in the polling aggregates:
Harris now leading in PA/MI/WI in @NateSilver538's latest. Up 1.1%pts nationally. pic.twitter.com/MBcfuDGXbc— Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) August 2, 2024
538 is showing similar, and if anything slightly more favorable, results.
This is still going to be very difficult — if Trump remains up in Arizona and Georgia it creates a very narrow path for the Democratic nominee. But obviously the Democrats are in a much more favorable position than they were when their candidate was running double digit behind the party’s battleground state Senate nominees, and the convention hasn’t happened yet.