There must be some kind of way out of here
By 
Dive into these crosstabs (gift link) of likely voters (31% Democrat, 31% Republican, 31% independent) from the new Times/Siena poll, and extract what you will.
About a month ago, I speculated that Trump’s conviction would push enough of the Ariana Grande vote in a decisively Democratic and democratic direction, so that the final popular vote totals would look something like 52%/44%/4%, with the last number being three quarters for RFK and one quarter for Brother Delinquent Child Support and Jill On the Grift Stein.
I still think this could well happen once people begin to really concentrate their minds on the matter, but let us not talk falsely now, the hour is getting late.