The politics of election calls
The thing is that Joe Biden is very, very obviously the winner of the Electoral College, and if networks were applying their usual criteria PA and NV would have been called several hours ago if not yesterday:
Another thread from local reporters and experts that comes to the same conclusion:https://t.co/hJf7OpWiMe— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 6, 2020
New Clark County ballots expand Biden’s lead in Nevada. I am not aware of a reason to believe that Trump can overcome his deficit in the state— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 6, 2020
It seems pretty clear at this point that refusing to call these states is being done for prudential and/or expedient reasons rather than because the decision desks think there’s any real doubt. Up to a point, I think it’s reasonable to use a little more caution when calling a tipping-point state, but I think we’ve passed the point of a reasonableness now. And even from a pragmatic perspective refusing to call the states is doing more harm than good given the Trumpian narratives that delays engineered by Republican legislatures = fraud. Anyway hopefully the next couple of batches from Philadelphia cause one of the networks to finally admit the obvious.
In the meantime, enjoy this Very Serious proposal, and we can spectulate how many Republican members of Congtess will re-tweet it:
This tweet is to political analysis what the Vikings trading their next several drafts for an overrated, past-his-prime RB is to football trades pic.twitter.com/3dgP78W8iq— Scott Lemieux (@LemieuxLGM) November 6, 2020
…to be Scrupulously Fair there IS evidence emerging of attempted election fraud in Georgia:
NEW: The GOP member of a vote review panel in Gwinnett, GA repeatedly argued Friday that write-in ballots for Mike Pence as president should count for Donald Trump, the group’s Democratic representative tells me.— Zachary Cohen (@ZcohenCNN) November 6, 2020
…this is a good summary of why Decision Desk called PA and the presidency.