The counterminoritarian dilemma
Not to terrify you on Monday morning, but Friend of the Blog Jacob Levy presents a disturbing scenario:
(And this is a percentage *of voters,* i.e. it doesn't take any notice of any of the various kinds of disenfranchisement.)
This will, of course, not stop any conservative commentator from describing the actions of that unified government as representing the will of the people.
— Jacob T. Levy (@jtlevy) October 7, 2018
As of now, 538 is estimating that Republicans have about a 1 in 4 chance of maintaining control of the House, roughly the chances they had of winning the White House on Election Day 2016, although there’s no doubt Democrats will receive far more votes. They remain overwhelming favorites to retain control of the Senate.
They’ve rammed through an incredibly unpopular Supreme Court nominee to top off an incredibly unpopular agenda. The New York Times has provided irrefutable evidence that Trump was deeply involved in a $400 million tax fraud, and Congress doesn’t care at all. And the country’s governing mechanisms are so deeply broken that they might get away with all of it and be in position to do much more.