Recap: Evidence Matters

Saturday’s game is a good lesson in making predictions based on intuition.   The numbers suggest that Alex Smith has become a very serviceable QB, and despite my skepticism played very well against a terrible defense.   The numbers also show that Tim Tebow is really, really terrible, and was he!   Although it’s hard to compete against Belichick’s defensive schemes, which today involved such radical ideas as “covering the other team’s top wideout” and “not running your fourth-and-short defense on every play.”   (The person who should be most embarrassed today is not Tebow, or even his media fluffers, but Dick LeBeau.)