Ambiguity, Deception, and Albert Pujols
By With the NBA not happening and college football over, it’s time to start talking baseball. Let’s begin with this from Jason Brannon and Rob Neyer:
Resolved: Albert Pujols is not 31 years old.
It’s really a fascinating discussion, and not just for baseball fans; there’s a lot about how organizations make mistakes and deal with those mistakes, and about how different elements of an organization (in this case the scouting team) have strong incentives to deceive about those mistakes. There’s also a fair amount about deception and strategic ambiguity between organizations, with Neyer and Brannon trying to interpret the apparent motives of the Cardinals and Marlins. Good stuff.